GoogleIt Mail IT Print IT PermaLinkNew Hamsphire Primary: My Decision In The Voting Booth
10:38:17 PM

Following up on last night's post....


With 62% of the precincts reporting, and about 170,000 votes counted, Senator Clinton is holding about a 2% lead over Senator Obama. The polls yesterday showing Obama with a 9% lead were clearly badly flawed. I think I know why. I didn't pay any attention to them. The local coverage is saying that the fact that Clinton showed some rare emotion yesterday at a campaign event has probably been a factor in her "regaining momentum". That's ridiculous.


The AP has projected a Clinton victory.


I didn't vote for her.


Standing in the voting booth, I was convinced that Senator Clinton would be the better President in 2009. If she is the Democratic candidate, I will support her. But I didn't vote for her.


I flashed back to 2004, when I, and most of the rest of the Democratic party (and more), first became aware of Barack Obama, when he spoke at the Democratic convention. I sat there, listening, and I remember exactly what I thought. I may have even said it out loud. "This is the future of the Democratic party".


I cast a strategic vote. I am convinced that either Clinton or Obama can beat any candidate that the Republicans can muster. I'm not convinced that the Democrats will obtain a fillibuster-proof majority in the Senate, and without it they will need the perspirational leader (as described in last night's post) more than the inspirational leader in order to get everything they (and I) might want. But the Democrats getting everything they want in a fillibuster-proof Senate isn't necessarily in the best interests of the Democratic party!


The Democratic party needs its future, and can not wait for 2016 for it to come.


It needs that far more than it needs a perspirational leader in the White House. That's the strategy that I embraced while standing in the voting booth this morning. What's best for the long-term interests of the Democratic party is to capture the youth movement that Senator Obama has galvanized,


And it is not just the Democratic party whose interests I think are best served by an Obama Presidency. The country needs an inspirational leader in the Presidency more than it needs every single aspect of the Liberal platform to be zealously pushed through by a perspirational leader. We need inspirational leadership because we need to have our people rise up reclaim what the Bush administration has decimated (though it was surely far too weak even before this administration came to power): our shared sense of what is right, and of what the Unitied States must stand for.


If there were any possibility of Hillary Clinton declaring her intention to be a candidate for only a single term in office, with Barack Obama as her Vice President, then I would have cast my vote for her. There is, of course, approximately the same probability of that as the probability that Mitt Romney will come out of the closet as a gay atheist. No, wait! Mitt Romney changes positions on everything eventually, so that's not improbable enough. It's about as probable that Bill Gates will switch to using Lotus Notes on a Macintosh.


As I finish this post. . 76% of the precincts are in, and Senator Clinton's lead is at 3%. WMUR has joined the AP in calling her the winner. Senator Clinton is making a victory speech. I didn't vote for her. I will support her if she takes the nomination.


It's looking like the ongoing primaries and caucuses will be very interesting.

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Comments :v

1. Rob McDonagh01/09/2008 01:31:43 AM
Homepage: http://www.CaptainOblivious.com


You know what else is interesting? Because it was such a close vote, and the delegates are allocated proportionally (as opposed to winner-take-all), Clinton and Obama are actually tied in NH delegates. If you take super-delegates into account, Obama has a lead of 1. So Hillary won the NH primary, but Barack has more NH delegates. I bet we don't see any mention of that in the press, though. heh...




2. Rob McDonagh01/09/2008 02:42:19 AM
Homepage: http://www.CaptainOblivious.com


By the way, there is speculation online that the out-of-whack poll numbers led some of NH's independents to vote in the GOP primary. The theory is that they thought Obama had it wrapped up, so they wanted to cast a vote for McCain. Is that a bizarre idea, or do people actually make that sort of judgment when they vote in the NH primary?




3. Doug Finner01/10/2008 07:40:42 AM


@2 - One of the joys of living in NH is that, as an independent voter you can engage in just such voting practices. I know of a number of folks who voted for somebody like Huckabee or Paul just to take votes away from other high visibility candidates. If you can make the 'other' side's candidate a non-winner, then 'your' candidate stands a better chance of winning.

So yes, people DO think that way. (not me - too much risk of screwing your real candidate out of votes).

@Rich, I'm totally with you on veto proof majorities; I think they are BAD. Efficient government = dangerous government. My hope is for a Democratic president with the house and senate both with 49 Dem/51 Rep splits - let those folks spend the next 4 years fighting to get anything passed! Who knows, maybe they'd learn to work together again <snort>




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